Please refer to the attached file. Review Summary: • Heavy rains continued over Bay, Hiraan, Sool, Togdheer, Mudug and Middle Shabelle during 13–19 October. Mataban recorded 221. 9 mm in 4 days, Laan Madow 221. 6 mm, Las Anod 161. 5 mm, Baidoa 157. 5 mm and Caynabo 149. 0 mm. Satellite estimates (IMERG, 14–20 October, the latest seven days available) indicate that 40–80 mm also fell over Tayeeglow, Xudur, Jalalaqsi and Ceel Buur districts, where no rain gauges reported. • By 19 October, 29 stations with a long-term record had reached or exceeded their October normal, including Baidoa (377. 5 mm, 279%), Galkacyo (230. 5 mm, 484%), Buuhoodle (PL) (221. 7 mm, 649%) and Caynabo (150. 0 mm, 703%). Burao (6%), Qardho (16%) and Bandarbeyla (20%) remain far below normal. • A new rise is moving down the Shabelle. Deefow rose 2. 08 m and Belet Weyne 1. 48 m this week, and Belet Weyne stood at 5. 88 m today, 0. 62 m below its moderate flood-risk level. Jowhar fell below its moderate flood-risk level on 17 October, briefly returned above it on 19 October (5. 07 m) and stood at 4. 39 m today. Juba levels are falling. • Radio Ergo callers (8–14 October) reported floods in Jowhar, El-dhere, Baidoa and Bardera, with two deaths and livestock losses at Habre in Bay. Drought persisted in Sheikh and Dadmaren (Togdheer), Bari and Bur-Salah (Mudug).
Somalia Weekly Weather Forecast – Valid From 21 – 27 Oct 2026
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