Countries: World, Algeria, Chad, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, India, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Libya, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Niger, Oman, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Tunisia, Yemen Please refer to the attached file. Extremely strong El Niño conditions and a more positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) favour we er conditions in eastern Africa, although the spring signal in Northwest Africa requires further confirmation. Dry conditions are expected across most Regions un l early November, except for some rainfall in northwestern Africa, southern Algeria, Libya and along the Gulf of Aden and parts of the Red Sea coasts. Above-normal rainfall is expected from mid-November along parts of the Red Sea coasts and in the Horn of Africa. Winter rainfall is expected along the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden coasts, becoming we er in February, while the northern Red Sea is expected to be drier-than-normal in November–December. Hence, small-scale winter breeding may start along the southern Red Sea and Gulf of Aden coasts. Spring may be we er than normal in Mauritania, Morocco, Algeria, the Horn of Africa, southern Arabia, Iran and Pakistan, where spring breeding could be favoured.
World: Locust Watch: Seasonal precipitation predictions in the Desert Locust summer/winter breeding areas (November 2026–April 2027) (21 October 2026)
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