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Somalia Weekly Weather Forecast – Valid From 28 Oct – 03 Nov 2026

Please refer to the attached file. Review Summary: • Lighter rains in the south, moderate falls in the north. During 20–26 October, Fiqi Ayub recorded 103. 0 mm, Caynabo 93. 5 mm, Dararweyne 84. 0 mm, Xaafuun 72. 4 mm and Bandarbeyla 59. 0 mm, while southern stations received 41 mm or less. Satellite estimates (IMERG, 21–27 October) indicate more than 40 mm over Diinsoor, Saakow and Afmadow districts, where no rain gauges reported. • By 26 October, 42 stations with a long-term record had reached or exceeded their October normal, including Baidoa (381. 0 mm, 282%), Mataban (333. 4 mm, 394%), Galkacyo (253. 5 mm, 532%) and Bandarbeyla (62. 2 mm, 397%). Burao (26%), Borama (27%) and Qardho (16%) remain far below normal. • Belet Weyne is above its moderate flood-risk level. Belet Weyne rose above 6. 50 m on 26 October and stood at 6. 70 m today, with the daily rise slowing to 0. 06 m. Deefow peaked at 6. 96 m on 27 October. Bulo Burti rose 0. 56 m to 5. 56 m, Jowhar has stayed at about 4. 28 m since 24 October, and the Juba has started to rise again at Dollow and Luuq. • Radio Ergo callers (15–21 October) reported floods and displacement in Jowhar, Cadale, Baidoa and Bardheere and flooded homes in Dabare and Cabudwaaq (Galgaduud). Drought continued around Tala-bur (Togdheer), Garasweyne (Bakool), Busley (Lower Shabelle) and Boholgaras (Gedo).

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